Three recent British opinion polls reveal dire prospects for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Party, with one pollster suggesting the party faces “electoral extinction” in the upcoming July 4 election. These findings come after a week of campaign activity and just before voters start receiving postal ballots.
Sunak’s decision to call an early election on May 22, aiming to capitalize on potential economic recovery, has led to a dramatic shift in public support. According to a Savanta poll conducted from June 12 to June 14 for the Sunday Telegraph, Labour’s support rose to 46%, while Conservative support fell to 21%. Chris Hopkins, Savanta’s political research director, warned, “Our research suggests that this election could be nothing short of electoral extinction for the Conservative Party.”
Survation’s poll for the Sunday Times, conducted from May 31 to June 13, projected the Conservatives could secure only 72 seats in the 650-member House of Commons, while Labour could win 456 seats. In terms of voter support, Labour leads with 40%, the Conservatives at 24%, and Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party at 12%.
Opinium’s poll for the Observer, conducted from June 12 to June 14, similarly shows Labour at 40%, the Conservatives at 23%, and Reform at 14%, reflecting a significant shift toward smaller parties. The Conservative Party’s declining support underscores growing voter discontent amid economic and political challenges.
