June 7, 2025
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to raise its short-term interest rate to 0.5% from 0.25% at its upcoming policy meeting on January 23-24, marking its highest level since the 2008 global financial crisis.

This anticipated rate hike signals the central bank’s commitment to gradually normalizing monetary policy while maintaining economic stability. The BOJ’s move comes as inflation remains above its 2% target and wage growth strengthens, reinforcing expectations of a policy shift.

Governor Kazuo Ueda and his deputies have prepared markets for this decision, with recent statements prompting a rally in the yen and boosting investor confidence. Analysts predict that further rate hikes could be on the horizon, with market participants closely watching Ueda’s post-meeting briefing for insights into the pace of future increases.

Despite the BOJ’s cautious approach, economic uncertainties remain. Global risks, including U.S. policy shifts under President-elect Donald Trump and potential domestic political instability, could impact Japan’s growth trajectory. The central bank is expected to navigate these challenges carefully to ensure sustainable economic progress.

A decision on the rate hike is expected between 0330-0430 GMT on Friday, with Ueda’s press briefing scheduled for 0630 GMT.

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